An Active Hurricane Season Could Help With Growing Drought

After such a promising end to 2012 and start to 2013 the faucet was turned off during the month of May...

After such a promising end to 2012 and start to 2013 the faucet was turned off during the month of May with very little rainfall over NWFL.  Some area viewers reported almost no measureable rain during the month.  As a result, abnormally dry conditions have developed across the panhandle.

drought

You can see on this map that since January 1 the western panhandle has been a little dry with areas east of 231 were wetter than average...

As I mentioned... where things took a turn for the worse was the month of May.  May be typically out 2nd driest month (next to October) with an average of around 3.5" of rain.  Looking at the below map you can see our area was 2-4" below average.

With hurricane season beginning on June 1st we begin to look toward the tropics for help with the growing drought.  Last week the experts at Colorado State issued their June update to their forecast.  Their prediction remained the same from their April forecast.

csu-hurr-forecast

Their reasoning for the above average forecast is because of us being in an extended period of above average tropical activity in the Atlantic, neutral ENSO conditions in the Pacific (not El Nino or La Nina), and abnormally warm water in the Atlantic.

We just had our first storm, Andrea, and it was a close call for our area, but unfortunately we just missed the heavy rain which fell over the Big Bend and Peninsula of Florida.

It is important to note that it only takes one storm to have a 'bad' hurricane season and now is the time to prepare.  No matter how many storms form it does not guarantee that we or anyone will see impacts.

Hopefully a nice Tropical Depression forms and can bring us a good soaking without any damage.

Regardless, we will be ready here in the VIPIR7 Weather Center.  I encourage you to look at our tropical weather page at WJHG.com and to download our WJHG Hurricane Tracker App in the iPhone App store.

 

--Chris Smith
Chief Meteorologist, WJHG-TV
chris.smith@wjhg.com

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