For the last 2 years Northwest Florida has been experiencing a drought. While we are still in the midst of the drought, we have made progress in recent weeks. On June 5th you can see most of NWFL was experiencing a severe to extreme drought conditions.
But thanks to soaking rains that improved to a moderate to severe drought. As much as 20" of rain fell over Pensacola! Notice in the rainfall estimates over the past 2 weeks much of NWFL was well above average. Pensacola was more than 8" above average for the 2 week period and is no longer in a drought!
Over the months ahead the Climate Prediction Center says rainfall/drought improvement (absent a tropical system) will stall with near average precipitation and above average temperatures.
Of course right now we have an area of disturbed weather in the southern Gulf that bears watching.
While major impacts are not anticipated right not over NWFL... we will watch it closely. Also, if El Nino develops this fall we would anticipate a wetter than normal winter over the Gulf coast bc El Nino creates an active southern branch of the jet stream... meaning more rain making weather systems!
So, as always... stay tuned!
Chief Meteorologist, WJHG-TV