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Tropics

Spawn of Isaac Moves into the Gulf

Posted: 09/06/2012 - A remnant of Hurricane Isaac, drawn back to the Gulf of Mexico after an odyssey through the Midwest, hovered Wednesday off the Gulf Coast.

Tropical Storm Isaac Video Blog

Updated: 06/09/2014 - Tropical Storm Isaac is now in the Gulf of Mexico and continues to churn toward the northern Gulf Coast.

Walton County Prepares

Updated: 08/28/2012 - As Isaac continues to track farther to the west, Walton County's status has been dropped from a hurricane watch to a tropical storm warning. The Walton County Sheriff's Emergency Operations Center is currently operating at a level one.

Hurlburt Field - Hurricane Condition 3

Posted: 08/26/2012 - Because of Tropical Storm Isaac Hurlburt Field ecacuated a majority of its planes out of the area and send thgem to Little Rock Air Force Base, Ark

Panama City Westward Remains Under Hurricane Watch

Posted: 08/26/2012 - The official National Hurricane Center forecast track has shifted westward in the last 18 hours, with a focus more on the Western Florida Panhandle, Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana coasts.

More Tropics

The Tropics

  • Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 022303
    TWOAT

    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    800 PM EDT TUE SEP 2 2014

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Dolly, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

    A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa
    on Thursday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive
    for some development of this system through the weekend while it
    moves westward at about 15 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Dolly are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC
    and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Dolly
    are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header
    MIATCMAT5.

    $$
    Forecaster Brennan

  • Summary for Tropical Storm DOLLY (AT5/AL052014)
    ...CENTER OF DOLLY MOVING ASHORE JUST SOUTH OF TAMPICO MEXICO... As of 10:00 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 the center of DOLLY was located near 21.9, -97.7 with movement W at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
  • Tropical Storm DOLLY Public Advisory Number 6
    Issued at 1000 PM CDT TUE SEP 02 2014
    
    000
    WTNT35 KNHC 030235
    TCPAT5
    
    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER   6
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052014
    1000 PM CDT TUE SEP 02 2014
    
    ...CENTER OF DOLLY MOVING ASHORE JUST SOUTH OF TAMPICO
    MEXICO...
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...21.9N 97.7W
    ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SSE OF TAMPICO MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
    
    
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
    
    NONE
    
    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
    
    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * CABO ROJO TO BOCA DE CATAN
    
    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
    
    
    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.7 WEST. DOLLY IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL MOVE INLAND OVER
    NORTHEASTERN MEXICO THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
    
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS.  WEAKENING WILL OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE DOLLY
    MOVES INLAND.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY WEDNESDAY
    NIGHT.
    
    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...
    220 KM...PRIMARILY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
    
    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT DATA IS
    1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
    
    
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10
    INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF
    TAMAULIPAS AND NUEVO LEON...AS WELL AS NORTHERN VERACRUZ AND EASTERN
    SAN LUIS POTOSI MEXICO THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.  THIS RAINFALL IS
    EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN
    AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
    
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE
    WARNING AREA THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.
    
    
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
    
    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN
    
    
    
  • Tropical Storm DOLLY Forecast Advisory Number 6
    Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 03 2014
    
    000
    WTNT25 KNHC 030235
    TCMAT5
    
    TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052014
    0300 UTC WED SEP 03 2014
    
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
    
    NONE
    
    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
    
    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * CABO ROJO TO BOCA DE CATAN
    
    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  97.7W AT 03/0300Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
    
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
    
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
    34 KT.......120NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
    12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
    
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  97.7W AT 03/0300Z
    AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  97.4W
    
    FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 22.0N  98.8W...INLAND
    MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
    
    FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 22.0N 100.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
    
    FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED
    
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N  97.7W
    
    NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
    
    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN
    
    
    
    
  • Tropical Storm DOLLY Forecast Discussion Number 6
    Issued at 1000 PM CDT TUE SEP 02 2014
    
    000
    WTNT45 KNHC 030236
    TCDAT5
    
    TROPICAL STORM DOLLY DISCUSSION NUMBER   6
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052014
    1000 PM CDT TUE SEP 02 2014
    
    Radar and surface data from Mexico show that the center of Dolly is
    moving ashore just south of Tampico.  The initial intensity remains
    40 kt, which is in agreement with the earlier aircraft observations.
    The minimum pressure is estimated to be 1002 mb based on dropsonde
    data from both the Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft and
    the NASA Global Hawk.  Dolly should begin to weaken overnight while
    the circulation moves farther inland, and the cyclone is expected to
    dissipate over the mountainous terrain of northeastern Mexico within
    a day or so.
    
    The initial motion estimate is 270/9 kt.  Dolly is forecast to
    continue moving generally westward to the south of a mid-level ridge
    until dissipation occurs.  The new NHC track is similar to the
    previous advisory and is close to the GFS model.
    
    The primary threat from Dolly will come from heavy rainfall, with
    precipitation totals possibly approaching 15 inches in a few
    locations.  These rains will likely cause flash flooding and
    mud slides in regions of mountainous terrain.  This threat will
    continue during the next day or so.
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  03/0300Z 21.9N  97.7W   40 KT  45 MPH
     12H  03/1200Z 22.0N  98.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
     24H  04/0000Z 22.0N 100.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     36H  04/1200Z...DISSIPATED
    
    $$
    Forecaster Brown
    
    
    

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