Good Tuesday morning everyone!
Meteorologist Ryan Michaels shows the Hourly Planner for Tuesday in NWFL.
It's a quiet start on radar this morning with little to no cloud cover passing through. We may get a few more small spotty storms to pop up later today, however. Grab the shades and something comfy to wear for another hot and humid day ahead.
Temperatures are starting out in the mid 70s for most. Highs today reach the 90s once again, with low 90s on the coast to mid to upper 90s possible inland. Despite a weak flow from the northeast today as high pressure builds in over the Mid-Atlantic states, humidity remains on the high side. So we'll once again have feels like temperatures today returning to the low triple digits.
However, that slight northeast steering flow this afternoon will influence the sea breeze front and possibly bring a few widely scattered pop up showers or storms this afternoon. Coverage is expected to be very low, as only a handful of storms develop. But that northeast steering flow could try to pin or shift a few storms toward the coast. So we'll have a 20% chance for the coast and inland for a stray afternoon storm today to help cool things off.
There are a few waves across the Atlantic Basin we are monitoring, all with low developmental chances right now. But a couple with some long-term potential.
Two waves are located in the Main Development Region across the Central Atlantic with only 20% chances for development over the next 5 days as they near the Lesser Antilles. The first wave further west in the Atlantic is looking less likely to develop as it continues to battle harsh conditions right now on approach to the Lesser Antilles. The second wave is just coming off the coast of Africa and development chances will be low over the next 5 days. However, the potential for this system in the next 10 days to arrive around the Caribbean Islands in more favorable conditions does exist. It's way too early for any confidence in the long-term forecast.
The next wave is approaching the Bahamas as an upper level low and disorganized cluster of showers and thunderstorms. These showers and thunderstorms will likely disrupt clean up efforts in the Northern Bahamas, but the majority will effect the southern branch of the islands. Over the next 5 days we could see this system either head for the Florida Straits or over the Southern Florida Peninsula and emerge into the warm waters of the Gulf. Development chances will likely rise with this system as it does so. All Gulf Coast States will need to monitor it's long-term track which is uncertain at this time. As of right now, it appears that NWFL will see an uptick in showers and thunderstorms by the weekend or early next week. But based on potential for strengthening and where it's heading, that can certainly change. So be sure to check back in throughout the rest of the work week.
For today, mainly sunny skies turn mostly sunny with a few afternoon and early evening scattered storms around, rain chance at 20%. Highs today reach the low 90s on the coast to mid 90s inland with a heat index in the low triple digits. Your 7 Day Forecast keeps us running pretty warm and sunny over the next several days.
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