Good Wednesday morning everyone!
This image shows Invest 95-L rounding the southwest side of the Bermuda High this upcoming weekend.
It's a quiet start on Satellite and Radar this morning with mainly clear skies. We'll need the shades and once again some comfy clothing for another warm day ahead.
Temperatures are starting out in the mid 70s for most and feeling humid. We'll get to enjoy a lot of sunshine in the forecast today, but that will lead toward another hot afternoon. Highs today return to the low to mid 90s and with humidity still running high we'll feel more like the low triple digits.
High pressure stacks up from the surface to aloft in our skies and that's why we'll be so hard pressed to see much more than just a few fair weather clouds in our skies this afternoon. This pattern sticks with us through the rest of the work week before a different system changes up our pattern.
Let's Talk About It in your Tropical Update...
Attention this week needs to be on a tropical wave passing through the Bahamas and toward South Florida or the Florida Straits as development is possible. Clockwise steering flow around the ridge of high pressure currently in place over the Southeast US will guide this cluster of storms initially to the west northwest. But the ridge will slide east into the Western Atlantic over the next couple days allowing for this system to move into the Gulf and then likely turn it northwest around the southwest side of the ridge. That could put the Northern Gulf Coast at risk for a developing tropical system to move in this weekend.
Because we don't have a centralized area of low pressure for the models to latch onto, it's unclear right now whether the center of this cluster of showers and thunderstorms moves more over the Southern Peninsula of Florida or over the Florida Straits. If the low were to develop and move over the FL Peninsula, a weaker system would be expected to impact the Northern Gulf Coast. However, if the low develops and stays over water in the Florida Straits emerging then into the Gulf before heading toward the Northern Gulf Coast, more time over the warmer waters would allow the possibility of a more developed system.
Where the central area of low pressure in this tropical wave develops will be key as to how long this system may have over warm waters to further develop before making landfall. So stay tuned to the forecast for the next couple days as we iron out the details. Impacts, are too early to call over NWFL right now, however, showers and thunderstorms appear to be likely at the very least.
For today, abundant sunshine with a few fair weather clouds in the afternoon. Highs today reach the low 90s on the coast to mid 90s inland. Your 7 Day Forecast keeps us running sunny and dry through the rest of the work week before better rain chances are looking likely by Sunday as we monitor a tropical wave moving into the Gulf.
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