On Sunday, October 1 at 9:30 AM ET, the Jacksonville Jaguars will meet the Atlanta Falcons at Wembley Stadium. Our computer model projects that the Jaguars will win -- keep scrolling for a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

On offense, the Jaguars rank 16th in the NFL with 339 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 18th in total defense (348.3 yards allowed per contest). The Falcons are generating 18.3 points per game on offense this season (23rd-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 18 points per contest (seventh-ranked) on defense.

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Jaguars vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Toss Up (Spread: Jaguars by 3) Under (42.5) Jaguars 22, Falcons 18

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Jaguars Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Jaguars a 63.6% chance to win.
  • Jacksonville has covered once in three chances against the spread this season.
  • The Jaguars have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
  • This season, games featuring the Jaguars have gone over the point total twice.
  • The average total for Jaguars games this season has been 46.5, four points higher than the total for this game.

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Falcons based on the moneyline is 40.8%.
  • Atlanta has won one game against the spread this year.
  • The Falcons have not covered the spread when an underdog by 3 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
  • So far this season, one Atlanta game has hit the over.
  • This season, Falcons games have resulted in an average scoring total of 42.7, which is 0.2 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Jaguars vs. Falcons 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Jacksonville 19 25 13 27 31 21
Atlanta 18.3 18 24.5 17 6 20

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