Good Tuesday morning everyone!
Meteorologist Ryan Michaels showing the severe risks for NWFL today.
It's a quiet start on radar right now over NWFL, with otherwise mostly cloudy skies. But you don't have to look far off to the west before you spot showers and thunderstorms heading our way. We'll need to have some rain gear handy through the midday hours in NWFL today.
Otherwise, it's a much more mild and muggy start for the coast with temperatures in the low 70s to upper 60s inland. Winds are increasing from the southwest, and will turn quite breezy today around 20-30mph this afternoon outside of thunderstorms. Due to the clouds and impending rain chances moving into the Panhandle, we'll only see highs work up into the upper 70s to low 80s.
A warm front lifted to our north last night, bringing the more sultry and warm start to our day. That warm and moist air will be the instability, or buoyancy and rising motion we'll need to get showers and thunderstorms developing today as cooler and drier air moves in along a cold front forcing that warm air to rise.
Timing of that cold front to move in and start creating the lift and storms to develop looks to be by late morning around 11am in the Western Panhandle. Storms will progress east through NWFL through the afternoon, wrapping up with a few showers by the late afternoon, before the rain comes to an end around 5pm along the Forgotten Coast.
It won't be raining non-stop through that period. But we can expect one or two periods of rain through that time frame amounting to about a half inch to an inch. There's a chance we could see gusty, damaging, winds in some of the stronger storms as we reside in a Slight Risk for an isolated severe storm or two to develop among the scattered thunderstorms that pass through.
Skies start to clear out by this evening and we'll see our temperatures plummet into the 40s inland tomorrow morning to low 50s on the coast. We'll need jackets to start our day tomorrow!
For today, mostly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms likely through the midday and afternoon with breezy winds outside of thunderstorms from the southwest at 20-30mph. Some storms may be strong or severe with damaging winds the likely threat, but a small risk for hail and a tornado exist. We'll clear out the skies after today on your 7 Day Forecast and bring in a little chill to your Wednesday morning with temperatures near 50° to start the day.
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